MARKET RASEN — THREE TOP BETTING TIPS FOR FREE

MARKET RASEN — THREE TOP BETTING TIPS FOR FREE. I have to say, this is one of my favourite betting tracks. While I also like the look of today’s card at Wetherby, I’m keeping those selections to myself. Hopefully you’re getting something out of this service by reading between the lines — the question is, do you really understand?

12:20 – ABBEY SCOPE (7/2)If we judge BRIXSEN on his debut run, the form is worth a rating of around 111–112. A little improvement can be expected from the Joel Parkinson/Sue Smith-trained five-year-old, suggesting he should be competitive.

On the other hand, the penalised SO YOU KNOW needs to find plenty. The horse he beat by half a length is only rated 98, suggesting that effort was worth around 100. If we subtract the 7 lb penalty, he comes out at 93 — well short of the required standard to win this race.

The Skelton-trained QUAVISTE was a disappointing favourite on debut, finishing a modest 17.5-length 8th of 14. While he did win a bumper, for now I’m thinking he’s better at home than on the track.

I want to chance hurdling debutant ABBEY SCOPE, who bolted up by a comfortable 3.5 lengths from the now 121-rated hurdler JIMMY HURDSTROM on his NHF debut. Since he was expected to do well that day, it’s fair to suggest he’s highly regarded and full of potential ahead of his hurdling debut. I trust Nicky Richards to have schooled the four-year-old well, and I’m expecting him to deliver.

Since our website is intended to make visitors sharper bettors, I want to mention that this is an ideal each-way thieving race. If all eight runners go to post, you’ll be offered three places in a race that should only concern four of the starters. The best odds currently available are 4.50, which means 1.70 for the place. If we visit Oddschecker and look at the best odds for a top-3 finish, you’ll see 1.53 — which closely matches what I’d expect Betfair Exchange (no vigorish) to be offering at the start of the race. In short, you’re getting an extra 17 pips over the true odds, which equates to around 11% value.

12:55 – MATOURY (11/2)DEVON SKIES arrives here after winning his last two races convincingly. The gelding has improved of late, and a 7 lb penalty is more than fair. However, this is a more competitive race than the one he won, and I prefer to look elsewhere.

TEES COMP’S CLIVE is fairly treated, but he’s 0/15. The same comment applies to AFTER MANY DAYS, who is currently 0/14. I always pay attention to seasonal debutants from the Richard Phillips yard, and I wouldn’t be surprised to see LITTLE WREN run well.

However, for the winner I’m with the strong-travelling six-year-old MATOURY, who is particularly effective over this course and distance. The Mike Somersby-trained son of KINGMAN ran well last time out at Wetherby and is only 2 lb higher than when winning here in June.

1:20 – KAPAMAZOV (100/30)While LELANT won last time out and champion jockey Evan Williams is riding, I’m not convinced he will follow up. After all, he’s only ever won 1 of 20 races, and runners from the Evan Williams yard can lack consistency. To cut a long story short, odds of around 15/8 are more risk than value.

SIR CARNEGY has won his last two races, but he’s another high up in the betting who would appeal to me as a “lay.” With that said, a few of these will never win a race, and several are out of the handicap proper.

With everything considered, let’s take KAPAMAZOV. The L. J. Morgan-trained eight-year-old failed to win for his previous trainer, James Evans, but I’m expecting improvement for his new yard. The son of KAPGARDE has shown enough to win a race at this level — so why not?

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