RACING SERVICE FOR WINNERS: THREE TIPS FOR FREE

RACING SERVICE FOR WINNERS: THREE TIPS FOR FREE. If you are betting on novice chasers, you need to understand the risks involved when backing horses at short odds. For instance, in the first race we covered there are 13 fences to be jumped. One fatal error and the jockey is on the floor. Smaller errors, such as over-jumping, slow jumping, or hitting a fence, can sap momentum and cost valuable lengths.

I was considering doing a video showing how to evaluate the form, but I think it would be worthless. After all, most visitors to this section just want the bet and are not willing to learn. If this description sounds familiar, perhaps it’s time to look for a different hobby — because this one will prove costly.

Newbury 2:15 — PERSONAL AMBITION (11/4)

LEADING CHOICE isn’t up to this level. OLD COWBOY ticks the course-and-distance box, but he is giving 7 lb to the two principals, which on paper leaves him with 10 and 16 lb to find.

While he has yet to win over fences, QUEBECOIS is the rightful favourite. The Paul Nicholls-trained 7-year-old was only just touched off last time out, and if this were a handicap he would be giving 6 lb to the selection. Nevertheless, I want to take him on for several reasons: the ground (unproven on sticky conditions), the distance (he looks more suited to 3 miles on a track like this), and the fact that he has let supporters down in the past.

While it is fair to say that PERSONAL AMBITION hasn’t lived up to expectations, he still has the potential to do well at this game. First-time blinkers and a falling handicap mark are positives, as are the testing conditions.

Betting is about odds, and 11/4 in a four-horse race represents excellent value.

This is a competitive Class 3 race, and several contenders have claims. While that doesn’t usually sound like a recipe for profit, the key point here is that our selection is available at double-figure odds.

Those at the head of the market have questions to answer, with AS THE FELLA SAYS and BRAVE KINGDOM both beaten favourites last time out. From a value perspective, I would rather lay than back them at the current prices.

HAVAILA is a thorough stayer who ran well on his return, and the testing conditions will enhance his chance — but he is no 7/2 shot.

MAJOR FORTUNE wins in turn and scored at Wincanton last time out, but a 5 lb rise in the weights is a clear negative.

GOOD FRIDAY FAIRY is running well and should be competitive, while 16/1 shot SHELDON has a better chance than his odds suggest.

As for the bet, I’m siding with JUPITER DES BOARDES. Three runs ago, the Richard Hobson-trained 8-year-old won at Warwick. He was then narrowly denied by Egbert before disappointing slightly in a strong race at Windsor. Given that I felt the track counted against him that day, and his prior form was solid and consistent, he gets the vote.

Chasing debutant TRAMUNTANA won just one of his seven starts over hurdles. He was also a beaten favourite on his last three appearances, and this is a tricky track for a debutant over fences.

ERIC CARMEN has plenty of miles on the clock, but he is running better now than at any point in his career. The Gary Hanmer-trained gelding has won two of his last three races, including last time out. Although the handicapper raised him 4 lb, his jockey’s 2 lb claim offsets that slightly. This also looks a stronger race than the ones he has been winning.

SINGAPORE TRIP has raced 51 times and hasn’t jumped a fence for close to four years. While the 8-year-old will be ridden by former champion jockey Brian Hughes, it’s hard to see him being well suited to chasing at this stage.

WINDSURFER is yet to win in four attempts over fences, but he is capable of better. The 7-year-old is now 10 lb lower than his hurdle mark, and the valuable 7 lb claim of Charlie Case is another positive. Under the circumstances, I thought he ran a fair race last time out and he looks overpriced here.

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